After Talladega, the playoffs started to get a lot more clearer as certain names started to sink towards the bottom of the playoff standings. Alex Bowman, William Byron, and Christopher Bell are all going into the Roval needing to win the race to advance. A scenario that I predicted happening after the playoff points were so bunched up heading to Talladega.

If you look at results from the Daytona and Indianapolis Road Course as well as previous trips to the Roval, Bell and Bowman have a good shot at pulling off a walk-off win. Byron on the other hand will have to unearth talent he’s probably not even sure he has to overcome his abysmal performance on these types of tracks this season and in the past.

Listen, it’s no secret who the favorite is heading into this race, but do keep your eye out for all three Penske cars. Joey Logano in particular has been good at the Roval and finished second at the Daytona Road Course. However, the Hendrick cars are still the ones to watch, and the 9-car is expected to continue to make the track his home.

Favorite: Chase Elliott

While Elliott has been hit or miss on most intermediate tracks, he’s remained a consistent threat to win every road course race. Winning two of the last three races here pretty much leaves you in a corner with only him to choose from.

While I expect Larson, Bowman, Logano, and Blaney to be threats on Sunday, I think barring any unforeseen circumstances like rain or strategy calls, Elliott will win in the end. Elliott making the round of 8 on a win at the Roval is nothing shocking, The question will be what he’s able to do once all the right turns go away.

Dark Horse: Chase Briscoe

Honestly, had he not gone off the road, he would’ve won the Indy Road Course. There is no doubt in my mind that Briscoe is a Cup-level talent that will go on to be a consistent winner and especially on road courses.

This will be his only start at the Roval in Cup, but he sports a win and two top tens in his three Xfinity starts. I’m excited to see what he comes out and does on a track similar to the one he almost got his first win on after the poor finish in Indy. Let’s see how he rebounds and if we can get two first-time winners in a row.


High-End Picks:

  1. Chase Elliott: $10,700
  2. Ryan Blaney: $9,100
  3. Denny Hamlin: $9,500
  4. Kyle Larson: $10,300
  5. A.J. Allmendinger: $11,200

Mid-Tier Picks:

  1. Joey Logano: $8,100
  2. Alex Bowman: $8,900
  3. Kevin Harvick: $8,200
  4. Christopher Bell: $8,400
  5. Chase Briscoe: $7,600

Low-End Picks:

  1. Ryan Preece: $6,000
  2. Cole Custer: $5,700
  3. Chris Buescher: $6,900
  4. Corey LaJoie: $5,500
  5. Bubba Wallace: $5,300

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