Well, if it wasn’t for the fact that Chase Elliott has a horrible time in Las Vegas, I’d call this the Hendrick Motorsports show. These are the races that have been dominated by HMS and there’s really nothing to make me think tomorrow will be any different. 

Penske is the only other team that intrigues me here, to be more specific Ryan Blaney. This has been a race that has plagued him for the last three years. Multiple times he has been in a position to win the race but has had issues. This season feels different for him, obviously because of the three wins so far. That being said, he’s not my favorite.

Favorite: Kyle Larson

No real reason not to pick Larson, as much as I don’t want to. This team has not lost a beat and has been the car to beat on every 1.5-mile track we’ve visited. With this team continuing to stay on pace through the first round of playoffs, I think we’re looking at two wins in a row.

Even before coming to Hendrick, Larson was great at Vegas with an average finish of 9.8. I don’t need to do too much explaining, pretty much a Larson pick is what it is, an easy way out. I honestly cannot see another car coming up to challenge Larson at a track he’s already won at this season.

Dark Horse: Matt DiBenedetto

As I said, I think Penske is the other team to watch and Matty D counts. Prior to this last race, he had finished 2nd two times in a row last season. For whatever reason, Vegas is a track he loves because he was even outdriving his equipment at Go Fas Racing and Leavine Family Racing here before coming to the Wood Brothers.

I believe that DiBenedetto is a driver who DOES NOT perform well under pressure. I have a theory based on the Door Bumber Clear podcast that he already has a deal lined up next year to drive for RCR in the Xfinity Series. If that’s the case, then maybe getting a chance at a favorite track of his with an eased mind is just what he needs.


High-End Picks:

  1. Kyle Larson: $11,100
  2. Ryan Blaney: $9,100
  3. Denny Hamlin: $10,500
  4. Kevin Harvick: $9,300
  5. Martin Truex Jr.: $9,700

Middle-Tier Picks:

  1. Alex Bowman: $8,300
  2. Matt DiBenedetto: $8,200
  3. Brad Keselowski: $8,700
  4. William Byron: $8,900
  5. Ross Chastain: $7,900

Low-End Picks:

  1. Bubba Wallace: $6,700
  2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: $6,800
  3. Erik Jones: $6,500
  4. Chase Briscoe: $6,000
  5. Michael McDowell: $5,900

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