I gotta tell you; I have been bored for the last two weeks because there have been no sports besides the Olympics to follow. It’s beyond exciting to finally have the boys back and while I think coming back to the Glen is somewhat lackluster, beggars can’t be choosers. 

To be fair, I love Watkins Glen; I think it’s a great track and was one of the only road courses I loved for a long time. Only thing is now that Chase Elliott has made it his trophy breeding grounds it makes the races somewhat predictable. So, it should come as no surprise that he is highly favored.

I think Elliott will be in play in this race, but I think that Hendrick is still going to be reeling a little bit. Ever since NASCAR caught them making some modifications, their dominant speed has gone into hibernation. I think we are going to see a tame HMS until the playoffs come around.

Favorite: Brad Keselowski

Coming out of the break, he has made the biggest waves in the silly season. While it was the worst kept secret of the past month, he officially announced he will leave Penske to pursue an owner/driver venture at Roush Fenway Racing. I think he can now truly focus all his energy on getting the most out of the 2-car and running the wheels off of it before handing it over to Cindric.

He has yet to get a win here, but he averages a finish of 11.4 and is starting on the front row. Coming off a very strong last outing in New Hampshire, hopefully, the break wasn’t a momentum killer. 

Dark Horse: Ross Chastain

Same as Keselowski, he comes out of the break knowing where he is going to be next season. Thankfully, he doesn’t have to change his address. With his future no longer up in the air, he also goes to Watkins Glen with a sense of relief and one goal in mind.

After his impressive drive at COTA, and the great runs he’s been having of late, I think the potential for a win this year gets more and more possible each week. Watkins Glen has had a few first-time winners in the past, and I don’t think it’d be out of the realm of possibility for another on Sunday.


High-End Picks:

  1. Brad Keselowski – $9,000
  2. Chase Elliott: $10,600
  3. Joey Logano: $9,600
  4. Ryan Blaney: $9,200
  5. Martin Truex Jr.: $10,400

Mid-Tier Picks:

  1. Ross Chastain: $8,100
  2. Kevin Harvick: $8,500
  3. Tyler Reddick: $8,000
  4. Matt DiBenedetto: $7,600
  5. Erik Jones: $7,000

Low-End Picks: 

  1. Aric Almirola: $6,800
  2. Austin Dillon: $6,100
  3. Bubba Wallace: $6,600
  4. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. : $6,300
  5. Cole Custer: $6,500

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