Three different winners so far this year down in Xfinity. With this being the first race we will see some Cup regulars in Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski, It’s safe to say we’ll see a fourth different winner come Saturday evening.

Pheonix is a mixed bag, you never know what you’re going to get each race. Sometimes you can get lead change every ten laps and some times one guy runs away with the entire thing in merciless dominance. I have a feeling that this weekend will be different with teams coming into this race with a different mindset.

We will be returning to Pheonix for the championship race at the end of the year. Teams are motivated to make sure that they can find every ounce of speed this weekend to bring it at the end of the year.

I’ll give three drivers names, and each will be classified differently. A Favorite, who is a big name driver who is my favorite to win. A Dark Horse, a driver who would be considered an underdog but has just as much chance as anyone to win. Lastly, a Longshot, a driver who nobody would ever guess would even be contending. Guys who are generally running in the twenties each week.

Favorite: Kyle Busch

I’m not showing off my strong abilities as a psychic. Everyone is going to have Busch as the favorite, as they should. He was fastest in second practice and Pheonix is his best Xfinity Series track with 11 wins.

I give the advantage to Busch over Keselowski just based on the speed of the car. Busch looks faster and I don’t think Keselowski will be able to keep up. He will probably lead a few laps, but Busch will track him back down.

Even if you don’t like Busch, got to admit that Twix car looks pretty good.

Dark Horse: Austin Cindric

Cindric is going to be contending towards the end of the year and I think he could be racing in Cup next season. He ran second and third in practices and I think he and Chase Briscoe will be the strongest contender for both Busch and Keselowski.

In four starts at Pheonix, Cindric has managed 2 top fives and 3 top tens. The Money Lion Mustang seems fast enough to gauge where his talent level matches up against the Cup guys and I’m excited to see how he measures.

Longshot: Justin Haley

8th in both practice sessions. Haley has been running well in the first three races with an average finish of 8th. Here at Pheonix, he has an average finish of 10th and finished 12th and 7th last season. 

Sitting at 5th in the standings, Haley needs to get prepared for a championship run. People forget that Haley is already a winner in the Cup Series after winning at Daytona last year for Spire Motorsports. A lot is expected of him this year to prove it wasn’t a fluke.

As I spoke on above, teams need to take this weekend to prepare for the Championship 4. Haley’s team will be prepping hard for that scenario.


I break my favorites down into three tiers. Upper-tier drivers worth $13,000-$9,000. Mid-tier worth $8,999-$7,000. Lower-tiers $6,999 and under. All based on DraftKings price ranges.


  1. Kyle Busch: $13,000
  2. Brad Keselowski: $12,600
  3. Austin Cindric: $10,300
  4. Chase Briscoe: $11,000
  5. Harrison Burton: $9,300


  1. Riley Herbst: $7,800
  2. Daniel Hemric: $8,900
  3. Justin Haley: $8,100
  4. Ryan Sieg : $8,300
  5. Alex Labbe: $7,300


  1. Myatt Snider: $6,700
  2. Joe Graf Jr.: $6,300
  3. Dillon Bassett: $5,500
  4. Landon Cassill: $5,600
  5. Jesse Little: $6,200

Best Line-up: $50,000 of $50,000

  1. Kyle Busch: $13,000
  2. Daniel Hemric: $8,900
  3. Justin Haley: $8,100
  4. Riley Herbst: $7,800
  5. Myatt Snider: $6,700
  6. Dillon Bassett: $5,500

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